{"id":24451,"date":"2025-12-30T09:22:30","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T17:22:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/?p=24451"},"modified":"2025-12-30T09:22:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T17:22:50","slug":"90-myru-i-10-nevyznachenosti-iak-vyhliadaie-najskladnishyj-etap-myrnykh-perehovoriv-shchodo-ukrainy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/en\/2025\/12\/30\/90-myru-i-10-nevyznachenosti-iak-vyhliadaie-najskladnishyj-etap-myrnykh-perehovoriv-shchodo-ukrainy\/","title":{"rendered":"90% Peace and 10% Uncertainty: What the Most Difficult Stage of Peace Talks on Ukraine Looks Like"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"24451\" class=\"elementor elementor-24451\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d7ee883 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"d7ee883\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-59ec6bf elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"59ec6bf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"24452\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/en\/2025\/12\/30\/90-myru-i-10-nevyznachenosti-iak-vyhliadaie-najskladnishyj-etap-myrnykh-perehovoriv-shchodo-ukrainy\/_tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1300,820\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"_tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820-1024x646.jpg\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-24452\" src=\"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1300\" height=\"820\" srcset=\"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820.jpg 1300w, https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820-1024x646.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820-768x484.jpg 768w, https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820-18x12.jpg 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1300px) 100vw, 1300px\" \/>Key players are simultaneously talking about peace while demonstrating deep mistrust toward one another. Ukraine insists on security guarantees, the United States is searching for a workable framework for agreements, and Russia continues to put forward conditions that effectively freeze the conflict. As a result, negotiations are moving forward not in a linear way, but through mutual contradictions, public disputes, and information maneuvers.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>\u201cChristmas\u201d Talks in Mar-a-Lago: A Draw Without a Breakthrough or Illusions<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump in Mar-a-Lago at the end of December <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ukrinform.ua\/rubric-polytics\/4074909-rizdvani-peregovori-u-maralago-poganih-novin-nema-uze-dobre.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">did not bring<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> any public breakthroughs, but it also did not record a deterioration in the parties\u2019 positions. As before, the so-called \u201c90% agreed plan of 20 points\u201d remains in place, and working groups are expected to begin detailed work as early as January. Trump\u2019s publicly positive rhetoric toward Putin surprised media outlets and diplomats, but officially it has been left without comment. The diplomatic game between Kyiv and Moscow over responsibility for a possible collapse of the talks continues, with the United States acting as the key arbiter.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the same time, Russia is demonstrating an unwillingness to move toward a ceasefire, rejecting the idea of a temporary pause \u201cfor elections\u201d and spreading claims about an alleged attack on Putin\u2019s residence. Ukraine and its European partners dismissed these accusations, suggesting the possibility of a provocation. Statements by Lavrov and Putin about revising Russia\u2019s negotiating position look like an attempt to exit the process without taking responsibility. Against this backdrop, European leaders are showing restrained activity, trying not to lose their agency in a process that is increasingly concentrating around Washington.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>Zelensky: \u201cI Do Not Trust Putin, He Does Not Want Ukraine\u2019s Success\u201d<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">President Volodymyr Zelensky said in an interview with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/video\/6387046216112\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fox News<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that he sees no signs of Putin\u2019s readiness for peace. He emphasized: \u201cTo be honest, I don\u2019t see it. I don\u2019t see it because, first of all, I don\u2019t hear it. He doesn\u2019t talk about peace. He says he can go further. This is not a signal of peace.\u201d According to Zelensky, pressure and sanctions from the United States, as well as the personal stance of President Trump, could play a key role in restraining Russia. He stressed that Washington has sufficient tools to influence the situation.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zelensky also stated that he has no trust whatsoever in the Russian leadership: \u201cI do not trust the Russians. I do not trust Putin. He does not want Ukraine\u2019s success. I believe he can say such words to President Trump, but that is not true.\u201d The president also cited data on high losses suffered by the Russian army, noting that this year Russia has lost about 400,000 troops. He emphasized that without U.S. support\u2014particularly in air defense and weapons supplies\u2014Ukraine will not be able to effectively protect its skies and continue resisting aggression.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>Tusk: The U.S. Is Ready to Deploy Troops in Ukraine as Part of Security Guarantees<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ukrinform.ua\/rubric-polytics\/4075052-ssa-mozut-rozgornuti-vijska-v-ukraini-ak-element-garantij-bezpeki-tusk.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, that peace in Ukraine has \u201cappeared on the horizon\u201d for the first time since the start of the full-scale invasion. According to him, a key outcome of the talks was a U.S. declaration of readiness to participate in security guarantees for Ukraine, including a possible presence of American troops. He noted that such statements from Washington have been voiced for the first time and could become the basis for further agreements. At the same time, Tusk stressed that full confidence in achieving peace is still a long way off.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tusk also said that this would require difficult compromises from Ukraine, particularly on territorial issues. He emphasized the importance of a referendum as a tool for legitimizing possible decisions and linking territorial concessions to real security guarantees. The prime minister underlined that such agreements would be extremely important for Poland given the regional security situation. He added that key decisions could be made in the coming weeks and would require full coordination among Polish institutions.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>The Story of an \u201cAttack on Putin\u2019s Residence\u201d\u00a0<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reports from Moscow about an alleged attack by Ukrainian drones on Putin\u2019s residence appeared immediately after the meeting between Trump and Zelensky and triggered a sharp reaction from the U.S. president. Trump <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/opinion\/russia-ukraine-drone-attack-vladimir-putin-volodymyr-zelensky-donald-trump-a39fcd9a?st=hm6rob&amp;reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">he heard about it directly from Putin and was \u201cvery angry\u201d about this information. Zelensky, for his part, called the story of the strike \u201ca complete fabrication.\u201d Moscow claimed that all drones were shot down and that there was no damage or casualties.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysts pointed to the absence of any independent confirmation of the incident, including videos, photos, or reports from local residents. At the same time, Russia\u2019s Foreign Ministry used this story as a pretext to revise its negotiating position and prepare \u201cappropriate retaliatory strikes.\u201d In this context, it is recalled that Russia has repeatedly attempted to assassinate Zelensky and has carried out strikes on government buildings in Kyiv. Thus, the information campaign around the \u201cattack on the residence\u201d appears to be an element of a political game aimed at derailing or discrediting the negotiation process.<\/span><\/p><h3><b>Trump\u2019s Peace Plan and Fundamental Contradictions<\/b><\/h3><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S.-brokered negotiations to end the war have advanced further than ever before, but they remain burdened by fundamental contradictions. Lavrov <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/12\/29\/us\/politics\/trump-zelensky-putin-ukraine-russia.html?unlocked_article_code=1.AlA.r43m.nqKsr5paIHZx&amp;smid=url-share\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">that Moscow will never agree to the deployment of European troops in Ukraine, calling them a \u201clegitimate target.\u201d At the same time, the presence of international forces is a key element of the security guarantees being promoted by Kyiv together with Washington. Trump has acknowledged that the process has turned out to be far more complex than he expected and that there are no longer any quick deadlines.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Separate unresolved issues include territorial questions, the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, and U.S. commitments to defend Ukraine in the event of a renewed attack. Zelensky insists on \u201cArticle 5\u2013level guarantees,\u201d but Trump himself avoids directly confirming such wording. Within the United States, there is also significant political resistance to the idea of rigid commitments to Ukraine. Against this background, the negotiations look like a process in which the outlines of a possible settlement are already visible, but filling those outlines with concrete substance remains extremely difficult.<\/span><\/p><p><b>Photo<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.ua\/static\/img\/_\/t\/_tramp_18_08_2025_foto__ofis_prezidenta_be927de3912d4ea03da1fa950fe357d0_1300x820.jpg\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">rbc.ua<\/span><\/a><\/p><p class=\"translation-block\">Author: Danylo Pievchev<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-55d6515 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"55d6515\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1a25aa2 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"1a25aa2\" 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simultaneously talking about peace while demonstrating deep mistrust toward one another. Ukraine insists on security guarantees, the United States is searching...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":253017331,"featured_media":24452,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1493,1507],"tags":[1531],"class_list":["post-24451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-danylo-pievchev","category-top-news","tag-danylo-pievchev"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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