{"id":25558,"date":"2026-02-02T11:07:39","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T19:07:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/?p=25558"},"modified":"2026-02-02T11:08:35","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T19:08:35","slug":"navishcho-putinu-peremyr-ia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vilni-media.com\/en\/2026\/02\/02\/navishcho-putinu-peremyr-ia\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Does Putin Need a \u201cCeasefire\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\"U.S. President Donald Trump said that he personally asked the Russian leader to refrain from large-scale strikes on Ukraine\u2019s energy infrastructure during severe cold weather. Putin\u2019s press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, in turn emphasized that Trump did indeed ask Putin to refrain from strikes until February 1, but did not disclose the Russian president\u2019s reaction.\n\nUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, however, stressed that the energy ceasefire effectively began on January 30, and therefore it remains unclear whether it will end in a few days, actually last a week, or be extended. This is always the case with agreements that are not confirmed by any signed documents and are based solely on verbal discussions. And, incidentally, this is exactly what Russia has always sought\u2014to replace a world \u201cby rules\u201d with a world \u201cby notions,\u201d where one can simply \u201cpromise\u201d something and later forget about it. Although, to be fair, Russians readily violate signed agreements as well; this, too, can be considered an element of their \u201cpolitical culture.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

But the main thing is that we do not know why Putin needs this ceasefire at all, or whether there is any agreement that the Russian president intends to respect.<\/span><\/p>

We understand that Putin is trying to prevent an open escalation of relations with Trump\u2014both because he would like to avert new sanctions and because he hopes to use contacts with the U.S. presidential administration to jointly pressure Ukraine, for example on territorial issues. After all, it is clear that attempts to push the Ukrainian authorities toward territorial concessions are a path to internal destabilization in Ukraine and, possibly, to the occupation of new Ukrainian territories. But attacks on Ukraine\u2019s energy infrastructure are an important part of Putin\u2019s plan. If he has decided to step back from them, there must be more substantial reasons than merely relations with Trump.<\/span><\/p>

It is also possible that this is not a ceasefire at all, but simply an accumulation of missiles and Shahed drones for new strikes. Such situations have occurred many times before: attacks might not take place for several weeks, only to intensify later. And no one called that a ceasefire.<\/span><\/p>

Finally, we should not forget an even more significant reason: strikes on Russian oil refineries may genuinely be causing Putin problems. He may want to stop them\u2014but then certainly not for just one week. This raises a key question: what is more important for the Russian president\u2014to preserve his oil refining capacity or to destroy Ukraine\u2019s energy system? Especially considering that Russian refineries are being hit by drones, while Ukrainian infrastructure is being attacked by missiles combined with drones. The answer to this question will become clear in the coming days and weeks.<\/span><\/p>

There is also another important motive that could have influenced the Kremlin\u2019s decision\u2014the negotiation process itself. On the one hand, Putin can demonstrate his \u201cconstructiveness\u201d to the Americans; on the other, he can exert pressure on the Ukrainian authorities and remind them of the consequences of their unwillingness to compromise. After all, one of the massive bombardments of Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities took place precisely on the night between two rounds of talks in Abu Dhabi.<\/span><\/p>

So there are quite a few reasons to change tactics, at least for a few days. But the main question remains: does this undeclared ceasefire bring us any closer to real peace, or is it instead evidence that any peace in the Russian-Ukrainian war can, in fact, only be a \u201chybrid\u201d peace?<\/span><\/p>

Author: Vitaly Portnikov<\/b><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Vitaly Portnikov<\/a> is a Ukrainian publicist, writer, and journalist. A regular contributor of analytical articles to Ukrainian outlets on political and historical topics, he is a member of Ukrainian PEN and a laureate of the Shevchenko National Prize.<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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read us in<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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U.S. President Donald Trump said that he personally asked the Russian leader to refrain from large-scale strikes on Ukraine\u2019s energy infrastructure during severe cold weather...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":253017331,"featured_media":25579,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1512,1503,1359],"tags":[1523],"class_list":["post-25558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vitaly-portnikov","category-exclusive","category-news","tag-vitaly-portnikov"],"yoast_head":"\n\u041d\u0430\u0432\u0456\u0449\u043e \u041f\u0443\u0442\u0456\u043d\u0443 \u00ab\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0440\u02bc\u044f\u00bb - 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